PayPal issues disappointing revenue forecast for next year; announces Venmo deal with Amazon

Earnings

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The PayPal application can be seen on a mobile phone.
Felix Kästle | picture alliance | Getty Images

PayPal reported revenue growth for the third quarter of 13% on Monday and said it’s teaming up with Amazon to let U.S. customers pay with Venmo at checkout, starting in 2022.

The shares rose as much as 6.3% in after hours trading, even as the company reduced its forecast for the year on economic concerns.

Here’s how the company did versus expectations:

  • Earnings per share: $1.11, adjusted, vs. $1.07 expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts
  • Revenue: $6.18 billion vs. $6.23 billion expected

Total payment volume rose 26% to $310 billion for the quarter ended Sept. 30, and the company added 13.3 million net new active accounts, bringing the total to 416, PayPal said in a statement.

PayPal’s Venmo app, which began supporting cryptocurrency services in April, saw payment volume jump 36% to $60 billion. Starting next year, customers will be able to make purchases on Amazon.com and the Amazon mobile shopping app using their Venmo accounts.

PayPal made a big push into crypto in the past year, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with digital currencies. With its network of 32 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to Coinbase, the country’s most popular crypto exchange.

For the fourth quarter, PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on net revenue of between $6.85 billion and $6.95 billion. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.27 in adjusted earnings per share on $7.24 billion in revenue.

PayPal faces a challenging macro environment due to the end of stimulus payments and the spread of the Delta variant, which affected travel. The company lowered its full-year guidance amid concerns about economic growth.

Revenue guidance was revised down to 18% growth for the year, putting it in the range of $25.3 billion to $25.4 billion. Analysts had expected $25.78 billion.

As e-commerce surged during the pandemic, PayPal was a major pandemic beneficiary, with its stock more than doubling last year. However, the shares are down 2% in 2021, excluding the after-hours move, while the Nasdaq is up 24% over the same period.

Investors turned particularly bearish on PayPal last month after reports surfaced that the company was in late-stage talks to acquire social media app Pinterest. PayPal subsequently said it was not pursuing an acquisition of Pinterest ”at this time.”

PayPal also has to contend with an eBay-less future. Six years after the companies split apart, eBay is in the process of transitioning sellers off PayPal and onto its own payment system. PayPal said volume on eBay marketplaces dropped 45% in the quarter.

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